loading...
Wed 08/17 | 8:10 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
San Diego Padres 86-69, -329 ML
SD -1.5+115
SD -165
Over 7-110
Miami Marlins 64-91, -3048 ML
MIA +1.5-135
MIA +140
Under 7-110

Expert Picks

MLB | San Diego 10 @ Miami 3 | 08/17 | 8:10 PM UTC

San Diego -160

WIN

ANALYSIS: Jesus Aguilar, Miguel Rojas and Garrett Cooper are all on the bench for the Marlins, who try for the unlikely sweep. Starting pitcher Pablo Lopez is 0-3 with a 5.35 ERA in seven day starts. Through his first 10 starts overall, Lopez had a 1.83 ERA. In his 13 starts since, it’s 4.99. San Diego's Mike Clevinger has allowed two ER or fewer in four his past five. That putrid Miami lineup should not score more than two runs off Clevinger; it's all whether the San Diego offense wakes up.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+5228 345-202-1 IN LAST 548 MLB PICKS
+546 12-5 IN LAST 17 MIA ML PICKS
+394 20-11 IN LAST 31 SD ML PICKS

Season Splits

86-69, -329 ML
64-91, -3048 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
66-54, -292
52-66, -1744
44%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
33-30, -28
25-33, -1316
43%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
55%
46-37, -949
23-46, -1797
33%
When Line was -171 to -141
MONEY LINE
When Line was +118 to +148
48%
14-15, -609
12-18, -250
40%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
51%
18-17, -577
6-18, -1099
25%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
57%
33-24, -459
19-29, -753
39%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
60%
6-4, +180
8-27, -1725
22%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
52%
49-45, -725
39-50, -1256
43%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SD
57%
4-3, 0
3-4, -46
42%
when Michael Clevinger starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Pablo Lopez starts
71%
10-4, +270
12-12, -108
50%