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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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We saw this exact pitching matchup between Sonny Gray and Zach Greinke in Minnesota earlier this season, resulting in a 7-3 Twins victory. Zach Greinke has been terrible on the road this season, as seen by his 7.16 away ERA. The Royals could only get a single run off Gray in six innings, but the over has hit in six consecutive starts. While I expect the Twins to score most of the runs, the Royals have played well lately, so hopefully they're able to keep it competitive. Both team's bullpens should be worked after last night, lending some value to the over at an even 8.
The Royals' 38-year-old starter, Zack Greinke, is 0-5 with a 7.16 ERA on the road. That includes a May 29 start in Minnesota in which he was hammered for three homers and five earned runs in four innings. The Twins counter with Sonny Gray, who has a 2.18 ERA over his last four starts. Minnesota is a solid home team (seven games over .500) while the rebuilding Royals are 19-35 on the road. Play the Twins on the run line at +105.