loading...
Tue 08/16 | 11:40 PM UTC | Minneapolis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas City Royals 63-93, -1544 ML
KC +1.5-125
KC +162
Over 8-105
Minnesota Twins 76-80, -1847 ML
MIN -1.5+105
MIN -195
Under 8-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Kansas City 0 @ Minnesota 9 | 08/16 | 11:40 PM UTC

OVER 8

WIN

ANALYSIS: We saw this exact pitching matchup between Sonny Gray and Zach Greinke in Minnesota earlier this season, resulting in a 7-3 Twins victory. Zach Greinke has been terrible on the road this season, as seen by his 7.16 away ERA. The Royals could only get a single run off Gray in six innings, but the over has hit in six consecutive starts. While I expect the Twins to score most of the runs, the Royals have played well lately, so hopefully they're able to keep it competitive. Both team's bullpens should be worked after last night, lending some value to the over at an even 8.

author-image

Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+914 22-11 IN LAST 33 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

63-93, -1544 ML
76-80, -1847 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
48-69, -885
59-55, -671
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
35%
19-35, -595
32-25, -275
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
38%
37-58, -666
41-25, +100
62%
When Line was +148 to +178
MONEY LINE
When Line was -209 to -179
35%
7-13, -182
5-3, -37
62%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
34%
18-34, -582
26-13, +245
66%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
47%
18-20, +353
31-20, -77
60%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
47%
32-35, +244
32-30, -652
51%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
36%
34-59, -1440
47-37, +128
56%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
36%
4-7, -185
7-4, +70
63%
when Zack Greinke starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Sonny Gray starts
52%
10-9, +276
10-7, -88
58%