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Mon 08/15 | 11:05 PM UTC | Bronx
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Tampa Bay Rays 85-70, -525 ML
TB +1.5-105
TB +205
Over 7-120
N.Y. Yankees 96-59, -147 ML
NYY -1.5-115
NYY -250
Under 7+100

Expert Picks

MLB | Tampa Bay 4 @ N.Y. Yankees 0 | 08/15 | 11:05 PM UTC

Tampa Bay +205

WIN

ANALYSIS: There are two main reasons why this line is way off. The first is that the Yankees are coming off playing on Sunday Night Baseball and we know how bad teams have been coming off playing on Sunday Night Baseball, especially when they have to travel. I wish I had the numbers but I think teams are losing at around a 75% rate straight up. The other reason is that the Rays have always seemed to just own Gerrit Cole in his career although he seems to have figured it out this season. There are a couple other things going our way too. DJ Lemahieu was out of the lineup yesterday, so I doubt he’s back in the lineup today. The Yankees have also gone 3-10 in their last 13 games. Ryan Yarbrough will be the primary reliever and he has pitched well against the Yankees this season. I like the value in the Rays.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1867 182-138 IN LAST 320 MLB ML PICKS
+901 17-10 IN LAST 27 NYY ML PICKS
+660 16-9 IN LAST 25 TB ML PICKS

Season Splits

85-70, -525 ML
96-59, -147 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
60-53, -790
72-43, -153
62%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
25-31, -1016
41-15, +563
73%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
15-21, -459
67-38, -221
63%
When Line was +186 to +216
MONEY LINE
When Line was -265 to -235
0%
0-0, 0
5-1, +103
83%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
36%
9-16, -645
41-15, +563
73%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
47%
22-24, -363
17-14, -312
54%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
51%
16-15, -265
20-10, +430
66%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
54%
45-38, -295
55-31, +145
64%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
30%
3-7, -359
7-3, +202
70%
when Jalen Beeks starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Gerrit Cole starts
33%
2-4, -150
15-8, -108
65%