Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
When the Dodgers win, they cover the runline 62.8 percent of the time. In 18 of Julio Urias' last 22 starts he's given up three runs or less. He's also been great on the road, 7-4 with a 2.27 ERA and is backed up by the NL's best bullpen with a 3.16 ERA. Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta does not have a great ERA at home, 6.26, with a 3-2 record. The Brewers have only averaged 2.33 runs per game in their last three. In their last 10 games, the Brewers are only hitting .217 as a team and have been outscored by three runs. The Dodgers are also 4-0 in their last four meetings against the Brewers. Play the Dodgers on the runline (+100).
The Dodgers had been an automatic run line pick for a while. Their entire 12-game winning streak covered. If anything, the loss with zero runs on two hits Sunday just makes me more confident for the run-line pick on Monday (-1.5, +100). They are so good right now, that loss will be a total outlier. Meanwhile, the Brewers have lost eight of 12 and the bullpen has been a disaster. Starter Freddy Peralta has been inconsistent through the year, but even if he's good, he won't go deep into the game and we just mentioned the problematic bullpen. On the other side, the Brewers' offense has been bad this month, is terrible against lefties and Julio Urias has a 1.09 ERA in his last five starts. Get that run line!
There’s no reason not to go right back to the Dodgers here after being shut out yesterday to stop their 12-game winning streak and lose their first game in August. Julio Urias is 6-0 with a 2.20 ERA in his last seven starts and the Brewers are the sixth worst team in the league in wOBA against lefties since the All-Star break. Freddy Peralta has made just two starts since returning from the IL and he has been decent but he doesn’t go deep. That’s a problem for a Brewers bullpen that is ranked 23rd since the ASB while the Dodgers are ranked 4th. The Dodgers are 33-6 in their last 39 games.
The Dodgers' loss on Sunday broke a streak of 12 straight wins, all by at least two runs. Now they get to face the Brewers and starter Freddy Peralta, who has allowed four runs in 8.2 IP since returning from injury. The Dodgers offense should bounce back after being shutout on Sunday. Laying the extra run at -105.