I don't trust Jays pitcher Yusei Kikuchi all that much, but his home ERA is nearly 2.00 better than on the road, and Toronto gets back leadoff hitter George Springer from the injured list. Kyle Bradish (6.42 ERA) is on the bump for the Orioles.

The Orioles just won two of two games against the Blue Jays in Baltimore last week and they are 4-2 against Toronto this season. Kyle Bradish has made three starts since returning from the IL and he has been good in all three starts so don’t let the ERA fool you. He also pitched 5.1 innings allowing just three runs against Toronto in his last start. Yusei Kikuchi has really struggled this season with walks and getting deep in the game. He allowed five runs in five innings pitched against the Os last rotation turn. Both these bullpens have been in the top five in ERA since the All Star break so whoever takes the lead will probably end up winning. The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last 10 games, take the value in the Os.

The over has hit in all six games between the Orioles and Blue Jays this season. Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi holds a 5.13 ERA. His most recent start was against Baltimore, and he surrendered five earned runs over five innings. Kikuchi gave up four earned runs in four innings the last time the Orioles came to Toronto. Kyle Bradish has a 0.356 BAA against right-handed batters, so it's reasonable to assume that he'll struggle against this Toronto lineup of all righties. He's made two starts against the Jays this season and didn't pitch well in either. Ideally, both teams can put up runs against their respective starters, leaving little to no worry by the time they get to the bullpens. I'll continue to ride this over streak.