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Wed 08/10 | 11:05 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Marlins 64-91, -3048 ML
MIA +1.5-205
MIA +105
Over 7.5-110
Philadelphia Phillies 83-72, -594 ML
PHI -1.5+170
PHI -125
Under 7.5-110

Expert Picks

MLB | Miami 3 @ Philadelphia 4 | 08/10 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -125

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Marlins have lost five straight games against the Phillies and they haven’t scored more than 1 run in any of those five games. Noah Syndergaard had a rough outing his first start since being traded but he did pick up the win in five innings. I think he will be much better against a Marlins lineup that is still missing many key players who he only allowed 2 ER in 5 IP to last month. Sandy Alcantara has pitched three quality starts against the Phillies this season but the Phillies might only need two runs off him to win this game. He actually lost a game against the Phillies in July where he went eight innings allowing just two runs. The Marlins are also thin in the bullpen after trading away Anthony Bass and Zach Pop. Take the Phillies at home.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1867 182-138 IN LAST 320 MLB ML PICKS
+2219 68-38 IN LAST 106 MIA ML PICKS
+406 39-31 IN LAST 70 PHI ML PICKS

Season Splits

64-91, -3048 ML
83-72, -594 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
49-60, -1535
61-48, +338
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
26-32, -465
31-25, -349
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
33%
20-40, -1588
40-27, -222
59%
When Line was -110 to +120
MONEY LINE
When Line was -140 to -110
42%
11-15, -360
13-12, -158
52%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
37%
16-27, -735
26-18, -299
59%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
41%
16-23, -544
19-15, -305
55%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
19%
5-21, -1516
21-10, +951
67%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
61%
8-5, +196
6-7, -234
46%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
36%
4-7, -284
7-4, +208
63%
when Sandy Alcantara starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Noah Syndergaard starts
63%
14-8, +273
1-0, +43
100%