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Tue 08/09 | 11:05 PM UTC | Baltimore
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Toronto Blue Jays 88-69, -760 ML
TOR -1.5-110
TOR -170
Over 8.5-110
Baltimore Orioles 81-76, +2482 ML
BAL +1.5-110
BAL +143
Under 8.5-110

Expert Picks

MLB | Toronto 5 @ Baltimore 6 | 08/09 | 11:05 PM UTC

Toronto -160

LOSS

ANALYSIS: We won on the Orioles on Monday in this series and they have been excellent at home, but we have to take Toronto behind Alek Manoah (12-5, 2.45 ERA) tonight. He has faced the Birds once this season and shut them out over six innings with one hit allowed. Lourdes Gurriel got Monday off but should be back in there tonight. Gurriel is in the midst of an eight-game hitting streak. Closer Jordan Romano also should be available. It's Kyle Bradish (1-4, 6.55) for the Orioles. He has been better of late but isn't in Manoah's class. Bradish has allowed five runs in 4.1 innings this year against Toronto.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+5228 345-202-1 IN LAST 548 MLB PICKS
+600 6-0 IN LAST 6 BAL ML PICKS
+1087 26-10 IN LAST 36 TOR ML PICKS

Season Splits

88-69, -760 ML
81-76, +2482 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
60-49, -783
57-52, +2091
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
26-28, -642
32-21, +1561
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
57%
52-38, -735
47-48, +1752
49%
When Line was -178 to -148
MONEY LINE
When Line was +124 to +154
61%
8-5, -1
18-12, +1299
60%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
51%
20-19, -519
24-18, +1285
57%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
47%
19-21, -728
24-24, +1237
50%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
75%
18-6, +707
27-16, +1574
62%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
41-41, -1279
46-38, +2262
54%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
40%
2-3, -232
3-2, +311
60%
when Alek Manoah starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Kyle Bradish starts
61%
13-8, -29
7-5, +347
58%