Expert Picks
MLB | San Francisco 4 @ San Diego 7 | 08/10 | 1:40 AM UTC
San Diego -165
WIN
ANALYSIS: The Sunday night curse is real as the Padres played Sunday night but were still big home favorites Monday against the Giants and lost 1-0, their fifth straight defeat. However, I like SD to bounce back tonight behind Joe Musgrove. While he has had a few shaky outings of late (maybe involved his contract extension, which got done), he hasn't allowed a run in 14 innings this year against the Giants. San Francisco probably won't have closer Camilo Doval available as he has pitched in back-to-back games. Starting pitcher Alex Cobb has a 6.03 road ERA. The Friars are due a big offensive night.
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Season Splits
28-26, +128 ML
24-29, -1125 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
54-55, -1324
61-51, -244
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
47%
25-28, -702
31-24, -383
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
32%
11-23, -868
41-34, -901
54%
When Line was +134 to +164
MONEY LINE
When Line was -190 to -160
42%
3-4, +50
18-9, +121
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
28%
7-18, -907
26-20, -491
56%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
46%
23-27, -453
16-12, +110
57%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
50%
7-7, +29
43-29, +109
59%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
52%
43-39, -360
45-43, -743
51%
vs SD
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SF
45%
5-6, -82
6-5, +117
54%
when Alex Cobb starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Joe Musgrove starts
35%
6-11, -687
12-7, +218
63%