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Sat 08/06 | 11:10 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 73-47, -48 ML
ATL +1.5-210
ATL +118
Over 7-105
N.Y. Mets 76-43, +1267 ML
NYM -1.5+175
NYM -140
Under 7-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Atlanta 2 @ N.Y. Mets 6 | 08/06 | 11:10 PM UTC

Atlanta +115

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I never like fading Max Scherzer but teams who lose the first game of a doubleheader win the second game about 70% of the time, and both these teams are good enough where I don’t think one would sweep the other. The Mets used their top relievers including Edwin Diaz in Game 1 and its not like Max Fried isn’t capable of outdueling Scherzer. The Mets also won’t be able to use their deadline acquisitions in Tyler Naquin and Daneil Vogelbach as they’re both lefties, although Darin Ruf should be in. Take the Braves at plus money in Game 2.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+610 84-69 IN LAST 153 MLB ML PICKS
+1816 50-29 IN LAST 79 ATL ML PICKS
+2177 45-24 IN LAST 69 NYM ML PICKS

Season Splits

73-47, -48 ML
76-43, +1267 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
59%
64-44, -394
68-39, +1257
63%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
27-22, -234
33-18, +435
64%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
34%
9-17, -766
54-25, +1015
68%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -150 to -120
23%
3-10, -667
22-13, +393
62%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
40%
8-12, -359
29-14, +450
67%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
17-17, -302
23-17, +390
57%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
53%
15-13, -48
16-7, +511
69%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
57%
47-35, -567
48-28, +896
63%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
40%
4-6, -233
6-4, +189
60%
when Max Fried starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Max Scherzer starts
71%
15-6, +308
10-4, +239
71%