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Sat 08/06 | 12:10 AM UTC | Minneapolis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Toronto Blue Jays 88-69, -760 ML
TOR -1.5+135
TOR -120
Over 8.5-105
Minnesota Twins 77-80, -1784 ML
MIN +1.5-160
MIN +100
Under 8.5-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Toronto 5 @ Minnesota 6 | 08/06 | 12:10 AM UTC

Toronto -120

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Toronto doesn't have quite the pitching edge it did yesterday (imo) but, yeah, I don't get why Byron Buxton and Gio Urshela aren't in the lineup for the Twins. Are MLBers not paid by the game? (I know they aren't but maybe they should be; Buxton is a bit banged up, why he has been at DH) Seriously, I had no idea Tim Beckham was even in the majors much less alive. He is starting at first today. Former Twin Jose Berrios has largely been terrible on the road for the Jays, but he dominated his former team on June 4 with 13 strikeouts and has found his rhythm of late. Tyler Mahle makes his Twins debut, and he has been much better outside Cincinnati in his career, but I just don't think the lineups are close.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+5228 345-202-1 IN LAST 548 MLB PICKS
+867 24-10 IN LAST 34 MIN ML PICKS
+1087 26-10 IN LAST 36 TOR ML PICKS

Season Splits

88-69, -760 ML
77-80, -1784 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
59-46, -537
55-50, -497
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
25-25, -396
29-24, -427
54%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
59%
51-35, -489
16-27, -671
37%
When Line was -139 to -109
MONEY LINE
When Line was -110 to +120
50%
14-14, -279
10-17, -654
37%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
54%
19-16, -273
4-11, -620
26%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
18-18, -482
13-17, -111
43%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
55%
27-22, -790
16-9, +523
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
51%
40-38, -1033
44-35, +76
55%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
50%
2-2, -70
2-2, +200
50%
when Jose Berrios starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Tyler Mahle starts
76%
16-5, +540
0-0, 0
0%