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Sat 08/06 | 12:15 AM UTC | St. Louis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 73-46, -377 ML
NYY -1.5+105
NYY -160
Over 8.5-105
St. Louis Cardinals 66-51, +431 ML
STL +1.5-125
STL +135
Under 8.5-115

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Yankees 3 @ St. Louis 4 | 08/06 | 12:15 AM UTC

St. Louis +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Yes, the Cardinals just played a doubleheader today/tonight (we won on both thankfully) and the Yankees were off. However, have you seen New York against good teams lately? Hasn't been pretty for the most part. Lost two of three in Houston, two at the Mets and two of three at home vs. Seattle. Plus, NYY is 2-7 in its past nine on the road. The Cards and their great fans will be jacked up for a very rare Yanks visit, and Dakota Hudson (2.98 ERA) is simply a different pitcher at home. It's Nestor Cortes for the Bombers, and the Cardinals have been fairly dominant against lefties of late (8-3 past 11 at home). I don't care if St. Louis wins, but only -135 at home on the runline has to be played.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3203 289-177-1 IN LAST 467 MLB PICKS
+888 18-7 IN LAST 25 NYY ATS PICKS

Season Splits

73-46, -377 ML
66-51, +431 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
66%
70-36, +387
57-48, +69
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
58%
29-21, -176
32-20, +404
61%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
67%
66-32, +310
21-31, -613
40%
When Line was -173 to -143
MONEY LINE
When Line was +120 to +150
41%
10-14, -777
4-12, -688
25%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
59%
25-17, -253
8-9, +1
47%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
60%
23-15, +183
18-20, +92
47%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
57%
15-11, -278
15-14, +142
51%
After a Day Off
REST
3rd game without a day off
71%
10-4, +124
42-36, -90
53%
vs STL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Nestor Cortes starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Dakota Hudson starts
73%
14-5, +350
8-11, -379
42%