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    Sat 08/06 | 12:15 AM UTC | St. Louis
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    N.Y. Yankees 36-26, +311 ML
    NYY -1.5+105
    NYY -160
    Over 8.5-105
    St. Louis Cardinals 25-37, -1570 ML
    STL +1.5-125
    STL +135
    Under 8.5-115

    Expert Picks

    MLB | N.Y. Yankees 3 @ St. Louis 4 | 08/06 | 12:15 AM UTC

    St. Louis +1.5 -135

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Yes, the Cardinals just played a doubleheader today/tonight (we won on both thankfully) and the Yankees were off. However, have you seen New York against good teams lately? Hasn't been pretty for the most part. Lost two of three in Houston, two at the Mets and two of three at home vs. Seattle. Plus, NYY is 2-7 in its past nine on the road. The Cards and their great fans will be jacked up for a very rare Yanks visit, and Dakota Hudson (2.98 ERA) is simply a different pitcher at home. It's Nestor Cortes for the Bombers, and the Cardinals have been fairly dominant against lefties of late (8-3 past 11 at home). I don't care if St. Louis wins, but only -135 at home on the runline has to be played.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +683 23-12 IN LAST 35 NYY ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    36-26, +311 ML
    25-37, -1570 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    66%
    70-36, +387
    57-48, +69
    54%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    58%
    29-21, -176
    32-20, +404
    61%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or Even
    67%
    66-32, +310
    21-31, -613
    40%
    When Line was -173 to -143
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was +120 to +150
    41%
    10-14, -777
    4-12, -688
    25%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    59%
    25-17, -253
    8-9, +1
    47%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    60%
    23-15, +183
    18-20, +92
    47%
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    57%
    15-11, -278
    15-14, +142
    51%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    3rd game without a day off
    71%
    10-4, +124
    42-36, -90
    53%
    vs STL
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs NYY
    0%
    0-0, 0
    0-0, 0
    0%
    when Nestor Cortes starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Dakota Hudson starts
    73%
    14-5, +350
    8-11, -379
    42%