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Sun 07/31 | 1:05 AM UTC | San Francisco
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Chi. Cubs 73-88, -252 ML
CHC +1.5-178
CHC +115
Over 8-115
San Francisco Giants 80-81, -1837 ML
SF -1.5+150
SF -135
Under 8-105

Expert Picks

MLB | Chi. Cubs 4 @ San Francisco 5 | 07/31 | 1:05 AM UTC

San Francisco -135

WIN

ANALYSIS: I'll admit that I'm sorta chasing here ... taking tomorrow off no matter how great a week it has been. Want to end on a high note in case White Sox (dear God they irritate me) do lose to Oakland. Which of course they will. I honestly forgot Drew Smyly was still in the majors. Figured he was throwing softballs in a Beer League to Jose Canseco and some random clown from Jersey Shore. Snooki got game! I'll take my chances with the Giants, who are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1165 39-19 IN LAST 58 CHC ML PICKS
+700 7-0 IN LAST 7 SF ML PICKS

Season Splits

73-88, -252 ML
80-81, -1837 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
41-58, -1086
49-51, -1302
49%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
21-26, +74
27-23, -350
54%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
30-42, -258
39-32, -677
54%
When Line was +101 to +131
MONEY LINE
When Line was -152 to -122
43%
14-18, -191
12-10, -90
54%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
45%
18-22, +240
23-22, -789
51%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
45%
9-11, -129
20-22, -934
47%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
40%
17-25, -958
24-24, -955
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
43%
31-41, -635
40-35, -245
53%
vs SF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CHC
50%
1-1, +15
1-1, -31
50%
when Drew Smyly starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jake Junis starts
33%
4-8, -428
5-3, +206
62%