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Wed 07/13 | 4:20 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 101-61, +866 ML
NYM +1.5-160
NYM +135
Over 8-115
Atlanta Braves 101-60, +210 ML
ATL -1.5+135
ATL -160
Under 8-105

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Mets 7 @ Atlanta 3 | 07/13 | 4:20 PM UTC

Atlanta -155

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I think this line is so much lower than yesterday because Charlie Morton was hit hard by the Mets earlier this season while Chris Bassitt pitched well against the Braves earlier this season. However, Bassitt is making just his second start since coming off the IL and his last three starts were all against the Marlins, so we really don’t actually know how well he is pitching. Charlie Morton has figured it out on the other hand, he has not allowed more than two runs in 5 straight starts while going 7 innings in four of them. Both bullpens have been good lately, but the Braves have been slightly better. The Mets are still without Starling Marte, James McCann, and Jeff McNeil. I like the Braves to win this series at home.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1347 195-154 IN LAST 349 MLB ML PICKS
+1918 57-34 IN LAST 91 ATL ML PICKS
+1747 48-30 IN LAST 78 NYM ML PICKS

Season Splits

101-61, +866 ML
101-60, +210 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
61%
55-34, +909
53-37, -312
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
58%
27-19, +553
31-20, -243
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
48%
13-14, +147
45-22, +367
67%
When Line was +118 to +148
MONEY LINE
When Line was -171 to -141
55%
5-4, +217
17-7, +435
70%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
10-10, +257
30-15, +164
66%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
56%
18-14, +311
16-15, -215
51%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
76%
13-4, +579
12-13, -535
48%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
61%
40-25, +705
41-29, -345
58%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
57%
4-3, +131
3-4, -146
42%
when Chris Bassitt starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Charlie Morton starts
58%
10-7, +45
10-8, -136
55%