Expert Picks
MLB | St. Louis 0 @ Atlanta 3 | 07/06 | 11:20 PM UTC
Atlanta -170
WIN
ANALYSIS: Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas hasn't pitched as well as his 2.61 ERA would indicate, and he gives up a lot of hard contact. That should spell trouble against a Braves team that averages 4.93 runs and bashes the most home runs in the National League. We're paying a premium to back ace Max Fried but he's worth it. He's 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in four career appearances versus St. Louis. Look for the Braves to win their seventh straight over the Cards.
Season Splits
66-51, +431 ML
73-47, -48 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
44-39, -293
48-34, -244
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
46%
20-23, -462
26-17, -175
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
39%
17-26, -783
40-19, +435
67%
When Line was +129 to +159
MONEY LINE
When Line was -184 to -154
11%
1-8, -668
9-7, -181
56%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
35%
11-20, -837
25-12, +232
67%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
46%
14-16, -152
8-5, +56
61%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
36%
7-12, -616
10-10, -341
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
53%
34-30, -287
36-26, -277
58%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs STL
0%
0-2, -200
2-0, +124
100%
when Miles Mikolas starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Max Fried starts
56%
9-7, +19
12-4, +366
75%