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Thu 07/07 | 12:10 AM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas City Royals 48-72, -1185 ML
KC +1.5+122
KC +235
Over 7.5-115
Houston Astros 77-43, +693 ML
HOU -1.5-145
HOU -292
Under 7.5-105

Expert Picks

MLB | Kansas City 7 @ Houston 4 | 07/07 | 12:10 AM UTC

Houston -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Since June 18, the Astros are 13-2 with a plus-41 run differential. The only two games they lost were on the road to the Yankees (and it could be argued they were fluky comebacks). Only three of those 13 wins were by a single run. Astros starter Cristian Javier is unbelievably locked in right now (14 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 27 K in last two outings) and the Royals are a poor offensive team ready for a lot of zeroes after three straight high-scoring games. Royals starter Brad Keller is adequate, but the Astros' offense will get theirs here. Looks like a blowout.

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works
+388 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB ATS PICKS

Season Splits

48-72, -1185 ML
77-43, +693 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
36%
29-50, -1587
53-27, +935
66%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
37%
15-25, -532
26-11, +373
70%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
24-42, -1179
45-18, +932
71%
When Line was +219 to +249
MONEY LINE
When Line was -298 to -268
0%
0-0, 0
1-1, -64
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
36%
14-24, -519
25-9, +455
73%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
22%
6-21, -1236
22-16, -189
57%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
20%
5-20, -1346
27-16, +6
62%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
29%
17-41, -2050
41-17, +1006
70%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
20%
1-4, -224
4-1, +97
80%
when Brad Keller starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Cristian Javier starts
33%
5-10, -479
7-4, +164
63%