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Tue 07/05 | 8:10 PM UTC | San Diego
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Seattle Mariners 65-54, +768 ML
SEA +1.5-190
SEA +115
Over 7.5+100
San Diego Padres 66-55, -392 ML
SD -1.5+158
SD -135
Under 7.5-120

Expert Picks

MLB | Seattle 6 @ San Diego 2 | 07/05 | 8:10 PM UTC

Seattle +122

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Mariners have sneakily been playing much better on the road lately as they are 9-2 on the road in their past 29 games compared to 8-10 at home. They have now won three games in a row and they are just 2 games below .500. The Padres have actually done the opposite, they are much better on the road, they are just 21-17 at home this season. Logan Gilbert is starting today and he is also actually better on the road at 5-1 with a 2.55 ERA. He has yet to allow more than four runs or pitch fewer than five innings in a start this season. Mike Clevinger has pitched well but he doesn’t get deep into the game. The Padres bullpen has actually been the 7th best in the league in the past 30 days, the Mariners have actually been the third best during the same stretch though. I like the value on the Mariners on the road.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+610 84-69 IN LAST 153 MLB ML PICKS
+1506 63-44 IN LAST 107 SEA ML PICKS
+635 35-26 IN LAST 61 SD ML PICKS

Season Splits

65-54, +768 ML
66-55, -392 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
40-42, -293
47-35, +393
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
47%
20-22, +141
21-17, -239
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
38%
19-31, -658
29-23, -483
55%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -150 to -120
35%
10-18, -671
10-7, +43
58%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
40%
14-21, -239
16-14, -447
53%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
15-15, +404
12-7, +334
63%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
50%
12-12, +334
11-14, -350
44%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
42%
28-38, -1152
36-28, +281
56%
vs SD
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SEA
100%
1-0, +155
0-1, -100
0%
when Logan Gilbert starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Michael Clevinger starts
68%
11-5, +541
6-0, +470
100%