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Sun 07/03 | 5:35 PM UTC | Washington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Marlins 52-66, -1744 ML
MIA -1.5+130
MIA -130
Over 8.5+100
Washington Nationals 39-80, -2276 ML
WAS +1.5-155
WAS +110
Under 8.5-120

Expert Picks

MLB | Miami 7 @ Washington 4 | 07/03 | 5:35 PM UTC

Miami -115

WIN

ANALYSIS: This line has fallen and now there's value on the Marlins, who have won 10 of 11 against the Nats. They're going for four wins in a row overall since their shocking comeback victory on Wednesday in St. Louis. I like the pitching matchup with Pablo Lopez facing Erick Fedde, and the price is right.

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Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+949 64-43 IN LAST 107 MLB PICKS
+1350 44-24 IN LAST 68 MIA ML PICKS
+1565 42-22 IN LAST 64 WAS ML PICKS

Season Splits

52-66, -1744 ML
39-80, -2276 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
47%
36-40, -635
29-51, -1329
36%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
41%
17-24, -534
14-29, -1360
32%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
65%
21-11, +420
22-45, -1276
32%
When Line was -144 to -114
MONEY LINE
When Line was -106 to +124
64%
11-6, +246
6-13, -639
31%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
66%
6-3, +168
7-24, -1407
22%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
63%
17-10, +310
8-10, +154
44%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
62%
25-15, +633
19-19, +299
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
45%
24-29, -570
23-37, -610
38%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
90%
10-1, +599
1-10, -840
9%
when Pablo Lopez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Erick Fedde starts
53%
8-7, +25
9-6, +469
60%