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Sun 05/08 | 11:08 PM UTC | Chicago
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
L.A. Dodgers 76-33, +783 ML
LAD -1.5-150
LAD -240
Over 8-110
Chi. Cubs 44-65, -1571 ML
CHC +1.5+130
CHC +200
Under 8-110

Expert Picks

MLB | L.A. Dodgers 7 @ Chi. Cubs 1 | 05/08 | 11:08 PM UTC

L.A. Dodgers -199

WIN

ANALYSIS: Well, this is under the cutoff line for a road team ... I honestly wasn't going to play because initial Cubs starter Marcus Stroman can be good enough to beat the Dodgers, but now I'm OK with it because Stroman was scratched and it will be Justin Steele instead. Bit of a mismatch now against Walker Buehler. Of course a Buehler has to start at Wrigley -- he's the sausage king of Chicago.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3223 276-168 IN LAST 444 MLB PICKS
+1405 38-17 IN LAST 55 CHC ML PICKS
+1452 33-12 IN LAST 45 LAD ML PICKS

Season Splits

76-33, +783 ML
44-65, -1571 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
72%
18-7, +231
9-17, -564
34%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
61%
8-5, -59
4-10, -526
28%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
72%
18-7, +231
7-13, -306
35%
When Line was -228 to -198
MONEY LINE
When Line was +163 to +193
66%
4-2, -16
2-2, +158
50%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
61%
8-5, -59
3-7, -285
30%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
60%
6-4, -82
5-11, -327
31%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
70%
14-6, +83
3-5, -21
37%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
69%
9-4, +32
5-10, -404
33%
vs CHC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs LAD
100%
2-0, +98
0-2, -200
0%
when Walker Buehler starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Justin Steele starts
80%
4-1, +74
2-3, -53
40%