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Wed 11/03 | 12:09 AM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 98-78, +381 ML
ATL +1.5
ATL +115
Over 8.5
Houston Astros 104-73, +73 ML
HOU -1.5
HOU -125
Under 8.5

Expert Picks

Atlanta 7 @ Houston 0 | 11/03 | 12:09 AM UTC

Atlanta 120

WIN

ANALYSIS: I picked both the Astros to win the series and the Astros in 7 games on Early Edge before the World Series, so you could consider this play a bit of a hedge, but I also think if the Braves are gonna win the World Series they need to do it in Game 6. Max Fried has struggled his past couple outings and I think he will struggle again against one of the best lefty hitting teams in the league. However, Snitker was able to save Matzek, Jackson and Smith to give them 2 days off before Game 6. Two days rest and playing in the AL Park means he will extend his relievers to try to get 4, 5 or even 6 outs each if he needs to. Luis Garcia is pitching on 3 days rest for just the second time in his career and the Astros top relievers didn’t get the luxury of Game 5 off. The Braves add the DH while the Astros don’t really get an offensive boost adding someone like Chas McCormick before Maldonado in the lineup. Take the Braves to win the World Series tonight, and if they don’t, we already have a +375 bet on the Astros to win in 7 games.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+2154 31-11 IN LAST 42 ATL ML PICKS
+1498 17-3 IN LAST 20 HOU ML PICKS

Season Splits

98-78, +381 ML
104-73, +73 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
98-78, +335
104-73, +71
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
49-39, +420
56-32, +356
63%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
29-34, +136
88-53, +195
62%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -140 to -110
48%
17-18, +188
29-18, +514
61%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
18-25, -317
53-29, +311
64%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
48%
29-31, -213
40-23, +1020
63%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
48%
12-13, -257
18-17, -237
51%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
54%
18-15, +81
19-12, +290
61%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
60%
3-2, +99
2-3, -137
40%
when Max Fried starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Luis Garcia starts
62%
20-12, +270
17-15, -337
53%