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Thu 10/28 | 12:09 AM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 96-76, +397 ML
ATL +1.5
ATL +110
Over 9
Houston Astros 102-71, +110 ML
HOU -1.5
HOU -121
Under 9

Expert Picks

Atlanta 2 @ Houston 7 | 10/28 | 12:09 AM UTC

Houston -115

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Astros offense was held in check for Game 1 of the World Series. It happens. It just doesn't happen for long with this group. They destroyed lefties in the regular season (.270/.340/.449 as a team) and get one in Max Fried for this game. Fried was outstanding in the second half, but he's regressed in his second and third postseason starts. He's never had this big of a workload in a season and after the shortened 2020, I believe it's wearing on him. The Astros will put up a big number early.

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works
+472 12-7 IN LAST 19 ATL ML PICKS
+755 15-7 IN LAST 22 HOU ML PICKS

Season Splits

96-76, +397 ML
102-71, +110 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
96-76, +351
102-71, +108
59%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
49-38, +520
55-32, +273
63%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
28-32, +235
86-52, +132
62%
When Line was -105 to +125
MONEY LINE
When Line was -136 to -106
48%
17-18, +77
23-16, +267
59%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
42%
18-24, -217
52-29, +228
64%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
48%
27-29, -197
38-21, +1057
64%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
47%
10-11, -241
16-15, -200
51%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
57%
15-11, +325
13-12, -170
52%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
100%
1-0, +115
0-1, -100
0%
when Max Fried starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jose Urquidy starts
64%
20-11, +370
14-7, +306
66%