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Wed 10/20 | 9:08 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Houston Astros 100-70, +10 ML
HOU +1.5
HOU +110
Over 9.5
Boston Red Sox 98-73, +1033 ML
BOS -1.5
BOS -121
Under 9.5

Expert Picks

Houston 9 @ Boston 1 | 10/20 | 9:08 PM UTC

OVER 9.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Tuesday's miraculous Over certainly is one for the books, but at the end of the day, the Astros have now seen seven straight. Wednesday's Game 5 total is one-half run lower than Tuesday's, which reduces the win condition by a full run to 10. The Red Sox have lost three games in the postseason thus far, and in the games that followed the first two defeats, they scored 14 and nine runs, respectively. I expect this to be another high-scoring post-loss result for Boston, as it essentially is a must-win game. It's also worth mentioning that neither of Wednesday's starters have been that great in the postseason, and the weather at Fenway Park is conducive to a good hitting day. Take the Over.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+365 6-2-1 IN LAST 9 BOS O/U PICKS
+385 6-2-1 IN LAST 9 HOU O/U PICKS

Season Splits

100-70, +10 ML
98-73, +1033 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
58%
100-70, +8
98-73, +1035
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
54%
46-39, -275
53-33, +485
61%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
44%
15-19, -134
63-42, -152
60%
When Line was -105 to +125
MONEY LINE
When Line was -136 to -106
41%
12-17, -422
26-23, -187
53%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
42%
12-16, -179
42-27, -111
60%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
64%
36-20, +957
29-36, -673
44%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
61%
72-46, -166
33-33, -34
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
59%
69-48, -222
63-49, +355
56%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
63%
7-4, +236
4-7, -312
36%
when Framber Valdez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Chris Sale starts
62%
15-9, +99
8-3, +168
72%