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Wed 10/20 | 12:08 AM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Houston Astros 99-70, -110 ML
HOU +1.5
HOU +120
Over 10
Boston Red Sox 98-72, +1133 ML
BOS -1.5
BOS -130
Under 10

Expert Picks

Houston 9 @ Boston 2 | 10/20 | 12:08 AM UTC

OVER 10

WIN

ANALYSIS: As the saying goes, "If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it." The Astros have seen each of their last six games go Over. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have scored a total of 25 runs in the first three games of this series and averaged more than seven in the playoffs. I don’t think Houston RHP Zack Greinke is going to be able to handle Boston's red-hot lineup. Plus, the Astros should be facing a lot of right-handed pitching, which they have been crushing of late. Take this game to go Over the total.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+365 6-2-1 IN LAST 9 BOS O/U PICKS
+385 6-2-1 IN LAST 9 HOU O/U PICKS

Season Splits

99-70, -110 ML
98-72, +1133 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
58%
99-70, -112
98-72, +1135
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
53%
45-39, -395
53-32, +585
62%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
14-19, -254
63-41, -52
60%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -140 to -110
36%
7-12, -422
29-22, +126
56%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
40%
11-16, -299
42-26, -11
61%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
63%
35-20, +837
29-35, -573
45%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
60%
71-46, -286
33-32, +66
50%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
50%
12-12, -290
18-9, +731
66%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
60%
6-4, +116
4-6, -212
40%
when Zack Greinke starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Nick Pivetta starts
58%
17-12, -35
16-14, -55
53%