Tampa Bay is sitting a lot of thunder in the lineup in Nelson Cruz, Mike Zunino and Joey Wendle -- plus, Wander Franco remains on IL (may be activated Friday). Rays pitcher Luis Patino has a 5.63 ERA in two outings vs. the Jays this year and has a 6.92 ERA this month. Toronto is going with basically a bullpen day. This simply feels like a one-run game in either direction so I'll take the underdog Jays at +1.5. They also need it more. Toronto is 16-4 this month.

The Blue Jays achilles heal is their bullpen and today they are going with a bullpen game, starting with Julian Merryweather. Luis Patino has been much better at home this season with a 3.38 ERA, although he was hit hard by the Blue Jays in his most recent matchup. The first two games of this series had the tying runs on base in the ninth inning and I expect this game to be similar. However, I am going to go with the Rays at home because of the Blue Jays bullpen depth.