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Thu 09/16 | 9:05 PM UTC | Baltimore
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 82-64, -360 ML
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Over 10.5-105
Baltimore Orioles 46-99, -2616 ML
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Under 10.5-115

Expert Picks

N.Y. Yankees 2 @ Baltimore 3 | 09/16 | 9:05 PM UTC

Baltimore +210

WIN

ANALYSIS: Chris Ellis has actually been very good in his 5 appearances this season pitching to a 2.08 ERA this season. Jordan Montgomery was hit hard in his last outing against a Mets team that struggles against lefties and this will be the Orioles 5th time seeing him this season. The Orioles were an inning away from pulling off the upset last night had it not been for Brett Gardner’s crucial hit and the Yankees haven’t been as dominant over the Orioles this season as they have in the past. Take the value in the Os at home.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+3219 120-92 IN LAST 212 MLB ML PICKS
+524 15-8 IN LAST 23 BAL ML PICKS
+420 7-4 IN LAST 11 NYY ML PICKS

Season Splits

82-64, -360 ML
46-99, -2616 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
82-64, -361
46-99, -2616
31%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
41-33, +77
22-51, -2212
30%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
56%
66-51, -946
44-91, -1970
32%
When Line was -260 to -230
MONEY LINE
When Line was +200 to +230
66%
6-3, -55
1-10, -770
9%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
55%
29-23, -378
20-45, -1766
30%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
58%
31-22, -414
19-60, -2646
24%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
57%
48-36, -362
14-32, -409
30%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
54%
58-48, -925
34-67, -1153
33%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
61%
11-7, -151
7-11, +375
38%
when Jordan Montgomery starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Chris Ellis starts
57%
15-11, +131
3-1, +645
75%