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Wed 09/15 | 7:07 PM UTC | Toronto
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Tampa Bay Rays 90-56, +1825 ML
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Over 9-105
Toronto Blue Jays 82-64, +360 ML
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Under 9-115

Expert Picks

Tampa Bay 3 @ Toronto 6 | 09/15 | 7:07 PM UTC

Toronto -160

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Rays are sitting four semi-regulars in Austin Meadows, Joey Wendle, Ji-Man Choi and Kevin Kiermaier (and Wander Franco remains on the IL). That's a fair amount of power on the bench other than Kiermaier, who is one of the best defensive outfielders in the majors. It's the end of a nine-game road trip, so the Rays as a whole might be dragging. It's Jays ace lefty and Cy Young contender Robbie Ray (11-5, 2.69) on the mound. He has a 2.00 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 27 innings this year vs. TB. The Jays are 6-1 in their past seven after a loss.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2380 239-163-6 IN LAST 408 MLB PICKS
+405 8-3 IN LAST 11 TOR ML PICKS
+98 4-2 IN LAST 6 TB ML PICKS

Season Splits

90-56, +1825 ML
82-64, +360 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
90-55, +1925
81-64, +303
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
45-29, +1456
40-31, -411
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
52%
29-26, +948
53-38, -601
58%
When Line was +142 to +172
MONEY LINE
When Line was -187 to -157
100%
4-0, +601
9-8, -274
52%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
57%
23-17, +1162
33-23, -412
58%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
63%
28-16, +999
33-32, -64
50%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
57%
8-6, +240
18-19, -169
48%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
62%
66-39, +1599
53-46, -466
53%
vs TOR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
60%
9-6, +334
6-9, -343
40%
when Michael Wacha starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Robbie Ray starts
60%
12-8, +204
15-13, -275
53%