loading...
Thu 09/16 | 12:10 AM UTC | Kansas City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Oakland Athletics 77-67, -356 ML
--
--
Over 8.5-115
Kansas City Royals 66-78, +263 ML
--
--
Under 8.5-105

Expert Picks

Oakland 12 @ Kansas City 10 | 09/16 | 12:10 AM UTC

Kansas City +1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: You may not be aware of this, but one of the best pitchers in the AL since late July has been Kansas City's Carlos Hernandez. He was originally to pitch Thursday on extra rest but will go here in place of injured Mike Minor. Since July 29, Hernandez is 5-0 with a 1.68 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts). The ERA leads the AL and his .192 opponents’ average is second over that span. Oakland's Sean Manaea has been rather hit-or-miss over his past seven and the A’s have a 6.82 ERA in September, which is second highest in the majors. Oakland remains without injured slugger Matt Chapman. KC is 16-7 in its past 23 games vs. a left-handed starter. We'll take the runline, though.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2380 239-163-6 IN LAST 408 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

77-67, -356 ML
66-78, +263 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
77-67, -357
66-78, +261
45%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
37-33, +108
35-35, +316
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
59%
56-38, -9
47-58, +813
44%
When Line was -150 to -120
MONEY LINE
When Line was +110 to +140
57%
26-19, +78
13-16, -20
44%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
56%
22-17, -137
21-19, +899
52%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
60%
29-19, +146
16-28, -810
36%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
61%
59-37, +647
13-20, +94
39%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
60%
12-8, +111
8-10, +16
44%
vs KC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs OAK
60%
3-2, -10
2-3, -18
40%
when Sean Manaea starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Carlos Hernandez starts
57%
16-12, +78
7-2, +731
77%