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Wed 09/15 | 10:35 PM UTC | Pittsburgh
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cincinnati Reds 75-70, -154 ML
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Over 9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates 53-91, -1380 ML
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Under 9-115

Expert Picks

Cincinnati 4 @ Pittsburgh 5 | 09/15 | 10:35 PM UTC

Cincinnati -135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: It's time for the Reds to wake up after losses in their last three. This pitching matchup happened in August with Vladimir Gutierrez beating Mitch Keller, 11-3, back when the Reds hitters were smoking the ball. In 12 home games with Keller starting, the Bucs are 4-8 with him posting a whopping 8.19 ERA. The Reds are only a half-game out of the NL wild card. Time is running out; Dodgers are coming to town this weekend. Reds to win.

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Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+1183 78-58-1 IN LAST 137 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

75-70, -154 ML
53-91, -1380 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
51%
75-70, -154
53-91, -1380
36%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
37-37, +590
33-40, +298
45%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
55%
46-37, -653
46-87, -1577
34%
When Line was -150 to -120
MONEY LINE
When Line was +110 to +140
55%
19-15, -49
9-25, -1400
26%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
44%
11-14, -589
26-36, +101
41%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
56%
27-21, -381
19-29, -132
39%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
57%
53-39, +378
30-45, -532
40%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
44%
8-10, -390
8-12, -12
40%
vs PIT
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
81%
9-2, +280
2-9, -667
18%
when Vladimir Gutierrez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Mitch Keller starts
52%
10-9, +341
7-12, -199
36%