ANALYSIS: It's time for the Reds to wake up after losses in their last three. This pitching matchup happened in August with Vladimir Gutierrez beating Mitch Keller, 11-3, back when the Reds hitters were smoking the ball. In 12 home games with Keller starting, the Bucs are 4-8 with him posting a whopping 8.19 ERA. The Reds are only a half-game out of the NL wild card. Time is running out; Dodgers are coming to town this weekend. Reds to win.