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Wed 09/15 | 8:10 PM UTC | Seattle
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Red Sox 83-65, +797 ML
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Over 8.5-115
Seattle Mariners 78-68, +2776 ML
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Under 8.5-105

Expert Picks

Boston 9 @ Seattle 4 | 09/15 | 8:10 PM UTC

Seattle +115

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Mariners starter Marco Gonzales hasn't lost a game since July 3. He's 7-0 since while the Mariners have gone 9-2 in his 11 outings. He's been better at home than on the road this season and I still don't fully trust the Red Sox right now, as they've lost six of their last nine while dealing with a COVID outbreak and its aftermath. Red Sox starter Tanner Houck has a somewhat limited sample in the majors and has had some success, but he doesn't work deep into games and the compromised Red Sox bullpen has been an issue for weeks.

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works
+1875 43-21 IN LAST 64 MLB ML PICKS
+116 2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ML PICKS

Season Splits

83-65, +797 ML
78-68, +2776 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
82-65, +720
78-67, +2875
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
51%
38-36, +436
42-32, +1454
56%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
57%
50-37, -412
60-50, +3272
54%
When Line was -140 to -110
MONEY LINE
When Line was +100 to +130
54%
24-20, -84
24-17, +1116
58%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
55%
16-13, -120
32-17, +2270
65%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
63%
37-21, +1441
34-27, +2244
55%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
56%
42-32, -84
45-41, +840
52%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
55%
58-47, +285
58-46, +2624
55%
vs SEA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
50%
3-3, -109
3-3, +148
50%
when Tanner Houck starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Marco Gonzales starts
45%
5-6, -207
13-8, +515
61%