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Mon 09/13 | 6:05 PM UTC | New York City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Minnesota Twins 63-81, -1917 ML
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Over 10-120
N.Y. Yankees 80-64, -452 ML
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Under 10+100

Expert Picks

Minnesota 5 @ N.Y. Yankees 6 | 09/13 | 6:05 PM UTC

OVER 10

WIN

ANALYSIS: The average total between these two teams this year has been 11.8 over the six games they’ve played. Today's weather should help the total as there's wind blowing out to right, which effectively makes the short porch at Yankee Stadium even shorter. The Yankees’ pitching has been a mess as they’ve allowed 5+ in each of their last eight games with an average of 7.1 allowed. The Twins play high-scoring games on the road at a good rate, with an Over record of 42-25-4 while away from Minnesota. I expect both starters to struggle and for runs to be scored liberally, so grab the Over.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+588 28-20-2 IN LAST 50 MLB O/U PICKS
+295 4-1 IN LAST 5 MIN O/U PICKS

Season Splits

63-81, -1917 ML
80-64, -452 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
63-80, -1817
79-64, -508
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
41%
30-42, -834
40-31, -494
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
30-40, -59
63-51, -1093
55%
When Line was +147 to +177
MONEY LINE
When Line was -192 to -162
16%
1-5, -338
7-8, -399
46%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
38%
18-29, -412
36-28, -624
56%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
42%
27-37, -441
28-22, -561
56%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
47%
9-10, +277
45-36, -509
55%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
47%
50-55, -542
55-48, -1072
53%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIN
16%
1-5, -370
5-1, +168
83%
when John Gant starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Luis Gil starts
25%
1-3, -185
2-2, -64
50%