The weather is going to be a big boost to the total. It also doesn’t hurt that Cardinals pitcher Jon Lester is terrible at his new home park so far and that Detroit's Tarik Skubal has struggled on the road. Both teams hit left-handed pitching well and with the winds blowing out and it being a hot afternoon, let's take the Over.

First game of Wednesday and a scheduled matchup of lefties in Detroit's Tarik Skubal and the Cards' Jon Lester. Nearly 60 percent of my model simulations forecast the total to finish Under 9 runs. The Under is 4-0-1 in both teams' past five against a southpaw starter.