Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
This is a matchup of southpaws in Max Fried vs. Jon Lester who is making his team debut. Lester has struggled all season and the Braves have been hitting lefties well recently. Max Fried allowed two hits in seven innings against the Cardinals earlier this season and he has two quality starts in his last three games. The Braves are on a ridiculous streak right now where they lose every game they play when trying to get back to .500. Currently they are 52-54, usually I don’t read into something like that but it definitely can’t hurt.
Atlanta has alternated wins and losses every game since the break, the longest such streak in MLB history. The Braves did lose their most recent game Sunday for what that's worth. They start Max Fried, who is 2-4 with a 5.85 ERA on the road. It's the Cards debut of Jon Lester, and he was solid in two starts vs. the Braves this year while with Washington. St. Louis has won 15 of its past 21 at home since June 9, the best home win percentage in the majors over that span. St. Louis’ .667 win pct. (10-5) on Tuesdays this season is tops in the NL. Not predicting an outright win here, but I'll take the runline at -140.
My model says the Braves win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with them at this number. Atlanta LHP Max Fried pitched well enough to notch his third win in four starts last time out, allowing just two runs in seven innings while registering a season-high nine strikeouts. He is 2-0 with a 0.61 ERA in three career meetings with St. Louis, including a victory on June 18 in which he gave up one run and two hits in seven frames. Expect him to continue his success against the Cardinals.