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Mon 08/02 | 11:10 PM UTC | St. Petersburg
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Seattle Mariners 56-50, +2169 ML
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Over 9-105
Tampa Bay Rays 64-42, +1387 ML
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Under 9-115

Expert Picks

Seattle 8 @ Tampa Bay 2 | 08/02 | 11:10 PM UTC

OVER 9

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Rays have been an effective home team recently, and I think they're going to be able to get runs against Seattle RHP Chris Flexen, who has a 5.92 ERA and 1.61 WHIP on the road. Even with those numbers, Flexen is 3-1 away from home, which has something to do with the Mariners having one of the best road offenses in baseball. Seattle has cashed 60 percent of Overs on the road this season (30-18-2), and I think that they have a good chance to help surpass this total. Take the Over.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+483 8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB O/U PICKS
+485 7-2 IN LAST 9 SEA O/U PICKS

Season Splits

56-50, +2169 ML
64-42, +1387 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
56-50, +2168
64-42, +1387
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
46%
23-27, +705
34-20, +485
63%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
55%
48-39, +2659
41-21, +661
66%
When Line was +168 to +198
MONEY LINE
When Line was -218 to -188
50%
6-6, +456
7-2, +142
77%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
45%
21-25, +751
28-12, +599
70%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
57%
23-17, +1661
26-19, +338
57%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
50%
9-9, +267
43-26, +803
62%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
56%
42-33, +1939
48-28, +1495
63%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SEA
100%
4-0, +529
0-4, -400
0%
when Chris Flexen starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Michael Wacha starts
68%
13-6, +915
9-4, +433
69%