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Mon 08/02 | 7:07 PM UTC | Toronto
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cleveland Indians 52-51, +83 ML
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Over 9-120
Toronto Blue Jays 54-49, -73 ML
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Under 9+100

Expert Picks

Cleveland 5 @ Toronto 2 | 08/02 | 7:07 PM UTC

Toronto -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Monday is "Civic Holiday" in Canada so why this game is the lone matinee on the MLB schedule. I believe the Jays are going to have a massive home-field advantage this season with all the strict COVID protocols involving other teams. They will just want to get out of there because they are essentially under hotel lockdown (too bad because Toronto is awesome; I'd move there tomorrow if not so cold). Appears to be a huge pitching mismatch between Cleveland's Eli Morgan (1-7, 7.47) and Toronto's Robbie Ray (9-5, 3.04). Not much value on the Jays -260 on the moneyline, so we'll do the runline at -138.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2427 152-97-6 IN LAST 255 MLB PICKS
+70 2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ATS PICKS

Season Splits

52-51, +83 ML
54-49, -73 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
51-51, -144
54-48, +26
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
47%
25-28, +35
25-22, -373
53%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
23-34, -372
30-23, -413
56%
When Line was +210 to +240
MONEY LINE
When Line was -270 to -240
50%
1-1, +125
5-2, -5
71%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
45%
16-19, +291
18-15, -474
54%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
54%
12-10, +55
14-12, +261
53%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
22%
6-21, -1123
31-23, +136
57%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
34-34, +82
29-34, -982
46%
vs TOR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
33%
1-2, -57
2-1, +57
66%
when Eli Morgan starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Robbie Ray starts
42%
3-4, -24
11-9, -92
55%