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Fri 07/30 | 11:10 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 53-48, -722 ML
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Over 7.5-110
Miami Marlins 44-58, -736 ML
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Under 7.5-110

Expert Picks

N.Y. Yankees 3 @ Miami 1 | 07/30 | 11:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Yankees will lose the designated hitter, which is usually Giancarlo Stanton, but presumably Friday will be the debut of trade acquisitions Joey Gallo and Anthony Rizzo. Good look navigating that lineup. Jameson Taillon's road ERA is 6.08, but he has turned things around away from home in allowing just four earned runs over 20 innings in his past three on the road -- and against lineups much better than Miami's. Overall, Taillon has allowed two earned or fewer in six of his last seven outings. Plus, if you have ever been to South Florida, this will be a Yankees home crowd if that type of thing matters to you.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3200 145-87-6 IN LAST 238 MLB PICKS
+361 11-5 IN LAST 16 NYY ML PICKS
+178 12-7 IN LAST 19 MIA ML PICKS

Season Splits

53-48, -722 ML
44-58, -736 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
53-48, -722
44-58, -736
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
51%
26-25, -314
24-23, +56
51%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
52%
42-38, -1010
28-43, -381
39%
When Line was -175 to -145
MONEY LINE
When Line was +135 to +165
56%
14-11, -217
11-18, -165
37%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
18-18, -567
12-11, +441
52%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
48%
17-18, -741
21-27, -353
43%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
52%
10-9, -14
6-11, -457
35%
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
52%
36-33, -693
5-10, -341
33%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Jameson Taillon starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zach Thompson starts
47%
9-10, -319
2-5, -255
28%