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Fri 07/30 | 11:10 PM UTC | St. Petersburg
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Red Sox 63-41, +1749 ML
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Over 9-110
Tampa Bay Rays 61-42, +1158 ML
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Under 9-110

Expert Picks

Boston 3 @ Tampa Bay 7 | 07/30 | 11:10 PM UTC

Tampa Bay -135

WIN

ANALYSIS: Let's hit this one last minute because Rafael Devers -- why we faded Boston on Thursday -- is still out and Nelson Cruz is in for Tampa Bay. Sure, one batter may not mean much .. but that three-run homer.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3200 145-87-6 IN LAST 238 MLB PICKS
+581 12-4 IN LAST 16 BOS ML PICKS
+270 4-1 IN LAST 5 TB ML PICKS

Season Splits

63-41, +1749 ML
61-42, +1158 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
60%
63-41, +1749
61-42, +1158
59%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
61%
30-19, +1308
31-20, +256
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
64%
27-15, +1775
38-21, +432
64%
When Line was +110 to +140
MONEY LINE
When Line was -150 to -120
58%
14-10, +720
14-8, +251
63%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
64%
18-10, +1294
25-12, +370
67%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
53%
16-14, +101
16-10, +508
61%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
65%
19-10, +778
40-26, +574
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
61%
45-28, +1236
45-28, +1266
61%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
66%
4-2, +240
2-4, -239
33%
when Martin Perez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Josh Fleming starts
60%
12-8, +357
3-5, -218
37%