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Sun 07/25 | 5:10 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Toronto Blue Jays 49-46, -75 ML
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Over 9.5-110
N.Y. Mets 52-44, -21 ML
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Under 9.5-110

Expert Picks

Toronto 4 @ N.Y. Mets 5 | 07/25 | 5:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Mets +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Not really sure why the Mets are home dogs against Jays starter Ross Stripling (3-6, 5.04). He has allowed at least one home run in each of his last seven outings. It's the Mets debut of lefty Rich Hill (6-4, 3.87), recently acquired from Tampa Bay. New York is 6-2 in its past eight after a loss. We'll take the runline as a safety net.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2846 127-76-5 IN LAST 208 MLB PICKS
+267 6-3 IN LAST 9 NYM ATS PICKS

Season Splits

49-46, -75 ML
52-44, -21 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
49-45, +24
51-44, -126
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
54%
27-23, +524
29-15, +530
65%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
54%
26-22, -505
19-21, +192
47%
When Line was -130 to -100
MONEY LINE
When Line was -110 to +120
57%
15-11, +187
11-9, +255
55%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
61%
11-7, +96
5-4, +190
55%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
56%
14-11, +361
19-19, +29
50%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
68%
13-6, +790
31-25, -128
55%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
44%
25-31, -919
33-26, +143
55%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
50%
1-1, -13
1-1, -13
50%
when Ross Stripling starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Rich Hill starts
46%
7-8, -119
0-0, 0