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Sun 07/25 | 5:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 51-47, -872 ML
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Over 10.5-120
Boston Red Sox 61-39, +1798 ML
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Under 10.5+100

Expert Picks

N.Y. Yankees 4 @ Boston 5 | 07/25 | 5:10 PM UTC

OVER 10.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I'm with Justin Perri on this one as the winds are blowing out fairly big time in Boston and both starting pitchers, Domingo German and Martin Perez, are prone to allowing homers. Batters are hitting .326 off Perez at Fenway. Be aware that rain could be an issue at some point.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2846 127-76-5 IN LAST 208 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

51-47, -872 ML
61-39, +1798 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
51-46, -772
60-39, +1724
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
51%
24-23, -364
30-20, +416
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
9-9, +138
33-25, -151
56%
When Line was +110 to +140
MONEY LINE
When Line was -150 to -120
55%
5-4, +190
14-8, +248
63%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
6-6, +103
21-16, -165
56%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
53%
16-14, -104
29-13, +1712
69%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
50%
29-28, -591
18-10, +704
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
53%
36-31, -493
42-27, +1111
60%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
25%
3-9, -583
9-3, +631
75%
when Domingo German starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Martin Perez starts
56%
9-7, +95
11-8, +283
57%