Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
I'm with Justin Perri on this one as the winds are blowing out fairly big time in Boston and both starting pitchers, Domingo German and Martin Perez, are prone to allowing homers. Batters are hitting .326 off Perez at Fenway. Be aware that rain could be an issue at some point.
A third Over play as I try to avoid sides on Sundays when picking early, since rosters haven’t been finalized just yet. However, weather and pitchers usually give good-enough edges for totals. So I’ll take advantage of the 13-mph winds blowing out at Fenway Park. This should help boost run scoring 10-to-15 percent above the average. Boston LHP Martin Perez is also much worse at Fenway (5.80 ERA, 1.80 WHIP in 11 starts_ than he is on the road (2.47, 1.15 in eight). New York RHP Domingo German has not been able to pitch deep in recent outings, and nobody is going to complain about extra at-bats against the Yankees' bullpen. I’ll be expecting a high-scoring affair.