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Sat 07/24 | 11:10 PM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Texas Rangers 35-63, -1525 ML
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Over 8-115
Houston Astros 59-39, +506 ML
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Under 8-105

Expert Picks

Texas 1 @ Houston 4 | 07/24 | 11:10 PM UTC

Houston -203

WIN

ANALYSIS: Yes, Kyle Gibson (6-2, 2.86) is on the mound for Texas, and he has nice numbers overall and vs. Houston but appears to fading of late with a 7.41 ERA this month. Texas should have traded him when value was high. Even better: The Rangers' most dangerous hitter, Joey Gallo, is not in the lineup. Again, big price and will use in a parlay, but the Gallo news convinced me. Under might be wise too.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2976 125-73-5 IN LAST 203 MLB PICKS
+600 6-0 IN LAST 6 TEX ML PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 HOU ML PICKS

Season Splits

35-63, -1525 ML
59-39, +506 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
35%
35-63, -1525
59-39, +505
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
25%
13-38, -1615
32-20, +165
61%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
31-55, -1003
48-28, +331
63%
When Line was +178 to +208
MONEY LINE
When Line was -228 to -198
22%
2-7, -321
8-1, +280
88%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
26%
13-36, -1415
29-17, +120
63%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
42%
21-29, +145
17-17, -633
50%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
37%
10-17, -410
40-26, +57
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
42%
30-41, -102
7-6, +45
53%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TEX
30%
3-7, -298
7-3, +61
70%
when Kyle Gibson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Framber Valdez starts
55%
10-8, +384
7-3, +200
70%