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Sat 07/24 | 8:05 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 50-46, -929 ML
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Over 9-120
Boston Red Sox 60-38, +1824 ML
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Under 9+100

Expert Picks

N.Y. Yankees 4 @ Boston 3 | 07/24 | 8:05 PM UTC

Boston -172

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Little bit bigger price than I would prefer, but New York pitcher Jameson Taillon (5-4, 4.60) just isn't the same guy on the road (1-3, 7.20). Also, no Gary Sanchez in the lineup. The Red Sox's Nathan Eovaldi is the only Boston pitcher since divisional play began (1969) to throw at least five innings and allow one or fewer runs in seven straight starts vs. AL East teams. Bit of a throwaway stat, but I like it. More important, he has a 1.45 ERA in three outings this year vs. NYY.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2976 125-73-5 IN LAST 203 MLB PICKS
+391 10-4 IN LAST 14 NYY ML PICKS
+381 10-4 IN LAST 14 BOS ML PICKS

Season Splits

50-46, -929 ML
60-38, +1824 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
50-46, -929
60-38, +1824
61%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
23-23, -521
30-19, +516
61%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
47%
8-9, -19
33-24, -51
57%
When Line was +142 to +172
MONEY LINE
When Line was -187 to -157
0-0, 0
4-7, -454
36%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
45%
5-6, -54
21-15, -65
58%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
51%
15-14, -261
29-12, +1812
70%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
50%
28-28, -748
18-9, +804
66%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
53%
35-31, -650
42-26, +1211
61%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
18%
2-9, -740
9-2, +731
81%
when Jameson Taillon starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Nathan Eovaldi starts
44%
8-10, -476
11-8, +57
57%