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Fri 07/23 | 11:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 50-45, -829 ML
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Over 8.5-110
Boston Red Sox 59-38, +1737 ML
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Under 8.5-110

Expert Picks

N.Y. Yankees 2 @ Boston 6 | 07/23 | 11:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees +1.5

PENDING

ANALYSIS: This is the first time in his Yankees career that AL Cy Young favorite Gerrit Cole is a betting underdog (see news feed), so I have to take NYY on the runline simply out of principle because I won't get Cole at +1.5 again. I'd probably take the Yanks on the moneyline if they weren't missing a few injured/COVID guys. While Cole struggled for a bit after the sticky stuff crackdown, he has dominated in his past two. New York should have won Thursday's opener at Fenway, but Aaron Boone for some reason didn't use closer Aroldis Chapman. Presuming he's available here.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3562 122-67-5 IN LAST 194 MLB PICKS
+51 3-2 IN LAST 5 NYY ATS PICKS
+47 4-3 IN LAST 7 BOS ATS PICKS

Season Splits

50-45, -829 ML
59-38, +1737 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
50-45, -829
59-38, +1737
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
51%
23-22, -421
29-19, +429
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
8-8, +81
32-24, -138
57%
When Line was -105 to +125
MONEY LINE
When Line was -136 to -106
53%
8-7, +181
15-12, +30
55%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
5-5, +46
20-15, -152
57%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
53%
15-13, -161
28-12, +1725
70%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
50%
28-27, -648
17-9, +717
65%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
53%
35-30, -550
41-26, +1124
61%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
20%
2-8, -640
8-2, +644
80%
when Gerrit Cole starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Eduardo Rodriguez starts
52%
10-9, -318
12-6, +556
66%