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Thu 07/22 | 11:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 50-44, -729 ML
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Over 9.5-110
Boston Red Sox 58-38, +1668 ML
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Under 9.5-110

Expert Picks

N.Y. Yankees 4 @ Boston 5 | 07/22 | 11:10 PM UTC

Boston -135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Getting a rather low number on Boston at home because oddsmakers aren't sure what to make of young pitcher Tanner Houck (0-3, 3.38) in just his eighth big-league appearance. In nine career innings against New York, the right-hander righty has allowed one unearned run on two hits while striking out seven. Yanks lefty Jordan Montgomery has a 5.32 road ERA and Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts kills him career (player prop hint). No Gary Sanchez tonight for the Bombers on top of Aaron Judge and Gio Urshela still on the COVID list.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3129 125-72-5 IN LAST 202 MLB PICKS
+391 10-4 IN LAST 14 NYY ML PICKS
+381 10-4 IN LAST 14 BOS ML PICKS

Season Splits

50-44, -729 ML
58-38, +1668 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
50-44, -729
58-38, +1668
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
23-21, -321
28-19, +360
59%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
53%
8-7, +181
31-24, -207
56%
When Line was +115 to +145
MONEY LINE
When Line was -155 to -125
62%
5-3, +290
16-8, +374
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
55%
5-4, +146
19-15, -221
55%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
55%
15-12, -61
27-12, +1656
69%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
51%
28-26, -548
16-9, +648
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
54%
35-29, -450
7-7, +54
50%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
22%
2-7, -540
7-2, +575
77%
when Jordan Montgomery starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Tanner Houck starts
61%
11-7, +159
0-2, -200
0%