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Thu 07/22 | 12:10 AM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cleveland Indians 47-45, -168 ML
CLE +1.5
CLE +230
Over 8.5
Houston Astros 58-38, +557 ML
HOU -1.5
HOU -260
Under 8.5

Expert Picks

Cleveland 5 @ Houston 4 | 07/22 | 12:10 AM UTC

Houston -1.5

PENDING

ANALYSIS: Not much value taking Houston at around -230 on the moneyline, so at -125 on the runline it is. Top Indians hitter Jose Ramirez is out of the lineup again and they start struggling Eli Morgan (1-3, 7.86) on the mound. The Astros have a book on him as they scored three over five innings on Morgan on July 3. It appears every key Astros player is in the lineup, and it's Lance McCullers Jr. (7-2, 2.80) on the mound. He has a 2.33 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 19.1 innings in three starts this month.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3462 121-67-5 IN LAST 193 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

47-45, -168 ML
58-38, +557 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
51%
47-45, -170
58-38, +556
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
46%
23-26, -133
31-19, +216
62%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
19-28, -398
47-27, +382
63%
When Line was +210 to +240
MONEY LINE
When Line was -270 to -240
0-0, 0
2-1, -16
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
45%
14-17, +123
28-16, +171
63%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
45%
14-17, -262
18-9, +486
66%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
19%
4-17, -1105
39-25, +108
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
51%
32-30, +100
45-24, +870
65%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
0%
0-6, -600
6-0, +357
100%
when Eli Morgan starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Lance McCullers starts
33%
2-4, -249
10-5, +283
66%