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Sun 07/18 | 11:08 PM UTC | New York City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Red Sox 56-37, +1470 ML
BOS +1.5
BOS +110
Over 9.5
N.Y. Yankees 47-44, -1027 ML
NYY -1.5
NYY -121
Under 9.5

Expert Picks

Boston 1 @ N.Y. Yankees 9 | 07/18 | 11:08 PM UTC

Boston +1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I was a bit on the fence for this one, but that Red Sox All-Star shortstop Xander Bogaerts is back in the lineup after missing Saturday's 3-1 loss -- New York's first win of the season against the Sox -- now has me on the Boston runline. New York is really banged up and starting the laughable outfield of Ryan LaMarre in left, Greg Allen in center and Trey Amburgey in right. Seriously, I had to look up who one of those guys was and I do this for a living (I'll never say which). Boston pitcher Martin Perez has been much better away from home (2.04 ERA).

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3189 108-59-4 IN LAST 171 MLB PICKS
+151 3-1 IN LAST 4 NYY ATS PICKS
+147 4-2 IN LAST 6 BOS ATS PICKS

Season Splits

56-37, +1470 ML
47-44, -1027 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
60%
56-37, +1470
47-44, -1027
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
28-18, +1110
24-23, -706
51%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
65%
25-13, +1677
41-37, -993
52%
When Line was -105 to +125
MONEY LINE
When Line was -136 to -106
60%
17-11, +692
14-11, +70
56%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
64%
16-9, +1096
23-20, -526
53%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
69%
25-11, +1458
14-12, -144
53%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
65%
15-8, +633
25-26, -846
49%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
61%
40-25, +1109
34-29, -533
54%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
87%
7-1, +675
1-7, -623
12%
when Martin Perez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jameson Taillon starts
61%
11-7, +383
7-10, -559
41%