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It is hot in Anaheim today, which means the ball will carry. Both Eduardo Rodriguez and Andrew Heaney have been below average. Anaheim has the fifth highest OPS against lefties, and Boston is eighth.
It has been a stretch of 13 games since the Red Sox last lost consecutive games. I expect a bit of complacency today from them as they have tomorrow off, before a final homestand ahead of the All-Star break. Grab the Angels to snap Boston’s six-game win streak with Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound.
Andrew Heaney has struggled recently with a 5.67 ERA in June, and he allowed five home runs and 12 ER in his last two starts. Eduardo Rodriguez has pitched well his last couple starts but he had a 6.23 ERA in June. Both these teams are in the top 10 in wOBA against lefties but the Red Sox are 33-20 against lefties while the Angels are 20-28 against lefties. The Red Sox have the best road record in baseball and their bullpen has been lights out recently. I originally wanted to take the over but a getaway day game worries me a bit as players will be swinging early in counts. Take the Red Sox to win the rubber game.