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Sun 06/20 | 11:08 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
St. Louis Cardinals 36-35, -79 ML
STL +1.5-200
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Atlanta Braves 32-36, -985 ML
ATL -1.5+170
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Expert Picks

St. Louis 0 @ Atlanta 1 | 06/20 | 11:08 PM UTC

St. Louis +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: ESPN Sunday night game and Game 2 of a doubleheader so only seven scheduled innings. The Cardinals blew out Atlanta 9-1 in the opener behind homers from Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt (both are in the lineup for Game 2). Obviously, it's tough to sweep a road doubleheader so I'm not taking St. Louis as an outright dog but on the runline because it's a pair of lefties on the mound and the Cards are 10-5 vs. southpaws while the Braves are 7-9. There's also the fact that St. Louis pitcher Kwang Hyun Kim (1-3, 3.72) is slightly more trustworthy than Atlanta's Drew Smyly (3-3, 5.63).

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2566 42-14-2 IN LAST 58 MLB PICKS
+699 10-3 IN LAST 13 STL ATS PICKS
+374 5-1 IN LAST 6 ATL ATS PICKS

Season Splits

36-35, -79 ML
32-36, -985 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
36-35, -79
32-36, -986
47%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
17-20, -152
19-20, -685
48%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
43%
19-25, -307
23-25, -969
47%
When Line was -105 to +125
MONEY LINE
When Line was -136 to -106
53%
14-12, +313
10-13, -495
43%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
38%
12-19, -440
16-17, -725
48%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
46%
13-15, -243
12-12, -192
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
54%
23-19, +81
23-15, +204
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
25-25, -102
23-21, -254
52%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs STL
33%
1-2, -95
2-1, +18
66%
when Kwang-Hyun Kim starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Drew Smyly starts
60%
6-4, +191
4-7, -223
36%