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Fri 06/11 | 11:10 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 29-31, -718 ML
ATL -1.5
ATL -115
Over 7
Miami Marlins 27-35, -628 ML
MIA +1.5
MIA +105
Under 7

Expert Picks

Atlanta 3 @ Miami 4 | 06/11 | 11:10 PM UTC

Atlanta -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: We're going with the Braves' run line here. The Marlins have won three of five since their eight-game losing streak, but those wins came against the Pirates and the Road Rockies, who are terrible. The Braves have been incredibly inconsistent this season, but they still have far too much talent to be playing this poorly. They have, however, won four straight Charlie Morton starts, during which time he's pitched to a 2.74 ERA. Sandy Alcantara has been brilliant at home, but the Marlins haven't supported him much, going 2-4 in his home starts. Take the odds on the Braves winning by multiple runs.

Season Splits

29-31, -718 ML
27-35, -628 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
29-31, -719
27-35, -628
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
46%
12-14, -216
14-13, -177
51%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
51%
21-20, -587
14-24, -445
36%
When Line was -130 to -100
MONEY LINE
When Line was -110 to +120
50%
8-8, -124
6-8, -158
42%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
53%
7-6, -44
4-4, +56
50%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
52%
11-10, -169
12-9, +335
57%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
31%
5-11, -650
15-19, -322
44%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
51%
20-19, -287
20-25, -472
44%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
25%
1-3, -238
3-1, +395
75%
when Charlie Morton starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Sandy Alcantara starts
50%
6-6, -157
6-7, -144
46%