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Thu 06/10 | 5:05 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 29-31, -718 ML
ATL +1.5-175
ATL +125
Over 7.5-105
Philadelphia Phillies 30-31, -168 ML
PHI -1.5+150
PHI -135
Under 7.5-115

Expert Picks

Atlanta 3 @ Philadelphia 4 | 06/10 | 5:05 PM UTC

UNDER 8

WIN

ANALYSIS: Two very good pitchers in Atlanta's Ian Anderson (4-3, 3.64) and Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler (4-3, 2.51), an early start after a night game (helps rested pitchers) and the winds blowing in around 11 mph at Citizens Bank Park. Plus, I'm sure a regular or two on each side gets the getaway game off. Love the Under 8 runs -- bet it's 7.5 any minute now -- and I rarely do totals.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+755 10-2 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI O/U PICKS

Season Splits

29-31, -718 ML
30-31, -168 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
29-30, -619
29-31, -242
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
12-13, -116
18-12, +449
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
44%
8-10, -32
13-12, -278
52%
When Line was +115 to +145
MONEY LINE
When Line was -155 to -125
45%
5-6, +25
6-4, +68
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
5-7, -72
11-6, +186
64%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
10-10, -110
12-10, +247
54%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
65%
21-11, +486
12-14, -418
46%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
52%
20-18, -187
19-21, -61
47%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
45%
5-6, -140
6-5, +140
54%
when Ian Anderson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zack Wheeler starts
63%
7-4, +133
6-6, -83
50%