Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
I've picked each game of this series, backing San Diego, and gone 1-1 on the moneyline. Each time, I've mentioned how weak the Cubs lineup is without Javy Baez. Well, not only is he out Wednesday but so are Kris Bryant and Willson Contreras (rest). I will be STUNNED if Padres right-hander and former Cub Yu Darvish (6-1, 2.25) allows more than one run over seven or so against that lineup. Over his last 10 starts, Darvish is 6-1 with a 1.91 ERA, holding opponents to a .180 BA. Cubs counterpart Jake Arrieta (5-6, 5.26) has an 8.28 ERA in his past six starts. Friars at -105 on runline feels like stealing.
I usually don't like lines this heavy but the Cubs are without Javy Baez, Wilson Contreras, and Kris Bryant in the lineup today. Jake Arrieta has been very bad recently allowing walks and home runs. The Padres have their full lineup, their ace is on the mound in Yu Darvish, and their top relievers didn't pitch yesterday. Take the Padres at home.