The Red Sox are 25-17 this season. They are 15-15 when favored, which means 10-2 as an underdog. I think you can read this stat as the Red Sox performing well when they are expected not to. That seems to be the case Tuesday, as they face Toronto ace Hyun Jin Ryu. However, the Red Sox beat Ryu on April 20 and I think they have a good chance to win this game too. Eduardo Rodriguez has pitched to a 5-1 record with a 4.15 ERA, but his 3.51 FIP shows he’s been better than it seems on the surface.