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Tue 05/11 | 1:45 AM UTC | San Francisco
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Texas Rangers 18-18, +762 ML
TEX +1.5-180
TEX +130
Over 7-125
San Francisco Giants 20-14, +617 ML
SF -1.5+155
SF -140
Under 7+105

Expert Picks

Texas 1 @ San Francisco 3 | 05/11 | 1:45 AM UTC

Texas +130

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The price is too high and I feel as though by first pitch we see it closer to +125 or even +120. Texas is on a good hitting streak, has been able to hit both right-handed and left-handed pitching well and has been performing better away from home. With Kyle Gibson on the mound, I love taking this value. Jump before the market realizes the price is too good. I make this closer to +115 or 47 percent, I’d play it to +125 but no lower.

author-image

Justin Perri

Model Guy
+784 20-13-1 IN LAST 34 MLB PICKS
+65 2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS

Season Splits

18-18, +762 ML
20-14, +617 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
18-18, +667
20-14, +717
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
9-8, +673
12-4, +694
75%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
53%
17-15, +893
10-6, +119
62%
When Line was +120 to +150
MONEY LINE
When Line was -160 to -130
27%
3-8, -390
5-4, -55
55%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
9-8, +673
9-2, +429
81%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
75%
12-4, +1169
7-5, +49
58%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
54%
12-10, +504
13-9, +219
59%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
58%
17-12, +1110
13-8, +579
61%
vs SF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TEX
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Kyle Gibson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Alex Wood starts
71%
5-2, +489
3-1, +183
75%